Let’s Guess At When Sony Will Kill Off The PlayStation 4

In the image, a close-up of the PS4 and its controller.

How much older is this console?
Photo: SOUP Images (fake images)

One day, PlayStation 4 time will end. It has to happen! But earlier this week, Bloomberg reclaimed that Sony apparently planned to discontinue the PS4 at the end of 2021. Sony has once again denied this claim. So when will the life of the console end?

To make our best guess, let’s take a look at the lifespan of previous PlayStations. But first, here’s Sony’s most recent denial of Bloomberg’s claim that the PS4 was scheduled to go out of production last year.

“It is not true that plans to end production of PS4 were withdrawn due to a shortage of PS5,” a Sony spokesperson recently told the Japanese site. network lab. “There were no plans to end production of PS4 at the end of last year (2021). The PS4 is one of SIE’s best-selling consoles, and just like with previous hardware, when you transition to the next generation, new and old hardware are made and sold side by side.”

This is true! But What certain? Good…

  • The PlayStation 1 was first released in December 1994 and production finished in March 2006. However, the console and its games continued to be available even after the last PlayStation 1 rolled off the assembly line. In total, the original PlayStation had a console lifespan of 12 years.
  • The PlayStation 2 was released in March 2000. This means that the PS1 was manufactured for six years after the PS2 debuted. PlayStation 2 Shipments ended up in japan in 2012, and global shipments ceased the following year. In total, the PlayStation 2 had a useful life of more than 12 years.

There’s definitely a pattern here, but…

  • The PlayStation 3 went on sale in November 2006, six years after the launch of the PlayStation 2. Console Shipments Ended in the US in October 2016 and in Japan the following March. In total, the lifespan of the PlayStation 3 was just over ten years.
  • The PS4 first launched in November 2013, meaning the PS3 was available for three and a half years after the new console’s lifespan. Shipping for the PlayStation 4 Pro finished in Japan in January 2021. At the time, Sony said it was shifting its focus to producing the PS5, but would continue to pour its energy into the PS4 platform business. The PlayStation 4 Jet Black 500GB continues to be made and sold. In total, the useful life of the console has been more than eight years.
  • The PS5 launched in November 2020, and thus the PS4 has surpassed more than a year of its predecessor’s shelf life.

If we make a safe assumption, then the PlayStation 4 can wait another two and a half years of manufacturing and shipping. But of course it could be even longer, depending on how the sales are.

Considering how well the PS4 has done, how many games the console has, and how difficult it remains to get a PS5, it would be surprising if Sony killed off the PlayStation 4 anytime soon. It’s certainly possible, but rejecting the console would set up an even shorter run for Sony’s gaming machines.

The past is prologue, except when it is not.

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